Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Longxing Football Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.81	3.4	2.52
	2.75	3.34	2.46	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.45
	2.76	3.48	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	2.48 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
34.5%

Draw
27.8%

Yunnan Yukun
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunnan Yukun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. (C) 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 15. Chen Chunxin 38. Ruan Qilong 27. Wu Yongqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 11. Dimata L.	23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 25. Deng Hanwen 5. Shi Ke 33. Burca A. 19. Huang Zichang 6. Zhao Yuhao (C) 30. Saeter J. 7. Ye Chugui 10. Ionita II A. 11. Taty Maritu O. 9. Cleber
Substitutes
10. Amadou I. 30. Bai Yutao 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 6. Jin Pengxiang 21. Liu J. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Yu-Hei 37. Wei Suowei 31. Wu Zitong (G) 7. Xiang Yuwang 4. Yue Ruijie	39. Abdusalam B. 1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 20. Tang Miao 8. Xu Xin 21. Yang Zihao 18. Yi Teng 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ye Chugui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chen Chunxin ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
46', Cleber ↓, Fei Ernanduo ↑,
68', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Xiang Yuwang ↑,
75', Ye Chugui ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
75', Huang Zichang ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
77', Zhao Yuhao 🟨,
80', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
81', Dimata L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
81', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
82', Saeter J. 🟨,
84', Ruan Qilong ↓, Liu J. ↑,
86', Ionita II A. ↓, Abdusalam B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 3).

Recent form of Chongqing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yunnan Yukun is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chongqing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Chongqing: Li Zhenquan (Injury) Zhang Zhixiong (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
16.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTLT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
16.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	3:2
27.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1
Chinese Yi League
02.07.23	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0

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