Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Municipal (Yverdon-les-Bains)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Yverdon		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.91
	3.15	3.6	2.05
	3.51	3.66	2.06
	3.16	3.72	2.09	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.47	3.98	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.44)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yverdon
28.2%

Draw
25.5%

Lausanne-Sport
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yverdon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yverdon's form might have worsened.

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lausanne-Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yverdon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lausanne-Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	5.3%	89.5%

Yverdon - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 75.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Yverdon (votes: 2 - 25%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enzler S. (G) 32. Sauthier A. (C) 25. Pos L. 2. Tijani M. 18. Kongsro V. 19. Sessolo H. 8. Chappuis A. 10. Marchesano A. 7. Rodrigues M. 99. Sorgic D. 44. Pasche E.	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. 5. Okoh B. 93. Fofana S. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. 10. Custodio O. (C) 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Bair T. 70. Diakite G.
Substitutes
24. Gnakpa J. 26. Golliard R. 15. Gottraux N. D. V. 37. Lemina N. 22. Martin K. (G) 11. Ntelo M. 16. Rouiller M. (G) 94. Saco C. 17. Weber P.	20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 16. Beloko N. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 1. Castella T. (G) 22. Kana-Biyik E. 91. Mollet F. 18. Poaty M. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Ursea A.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Bair T. ⚽,
41', Sessolo H. 🟨,
43', Rodrigues M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Roche J. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
64', Custodio O. ↓, Mollet F. ↑,
64', Sigua G. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
67', Sessolo H. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
67', Rodrigues M. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Sorgic D. ⚽,
76', Mollet F. 🟨,
86', Beloko N. 🟨,
90+2', Chappuis A. ↓, Gnakpa J. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', 🟨,
96', Pasche E. ↓, Golliard R. ↑,
96', Sorgic D. ↓, Ntelo M. ↑,
114', 2 - 1, Golliard R. ⚽,
116', Golliard R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yverdon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lausanne-Sport - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Challenge League
30.11.25	Yverdon - Étoile Carouge	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Wil 1900 - Yverdon	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Yverdon - Vaduz	3:4 ✺
24.10.25	Stade Nyonnais - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTLT
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Sion	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
08.02.25	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	4:1
29.10.24	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	0:3
22.09.24	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	3:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	Canceled
Swiss Super League
05.05.24	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	3:1
17.02.24	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	3:1
11.11.23	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	2:2

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