Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 13
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	17:45	SÝN Sport 4, Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Singapore	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus


	Lech Poznań		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.33	3.8
	1.78	4.15	3.7
	1.8	4.13	4.05
	1.98	3.92	3.37	Watch
	1.86	4.26	3.87
	1.72	4.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2)	4.17 ↑ (3.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
52.3%

Draw
22.7%

Lausanne-Sport
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	4.8%	9.5%

Lech Poznań - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 27. Monka W. 15. Gurgul M. 43. Kozubal A. 24. Jagiello F. 8. Gholizadeh A. 99. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. (C) 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. 16. Beloko N. 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Bair T. 7. Ajdini A.
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 21. Baranski B. 14. Bengtsson L. 19. Fiabema B. 20. Gumny R. 88. Ismaheel T. 56. Lisman K. 16. Milic A. 4. Moutinho J. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Thordarson G.	20. Abdallah H. 77. Al Saad M. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 1. Castella T. (G) 10. Custodio O. 70. Diakite G. 93. Fofana S. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 22. Kana-Biyik E. 54. Lippo R. 47. N'Diaye S. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,
40', Beloko N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
59', Rodriguez P. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
59', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
60', Ajdini A. ↓, Diakite G. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
70', Beloko N. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
70', Sigua G. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
74', Jagiello F. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
79', Gumny R. 🟨,
80', Butler-Oyedeji N. 🟨,
82', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
82', Poaty M. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
85', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Agnero Y. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lech will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Milic A. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Surgery) Ouma T. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Bruchez E. (International duty)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.11.25	Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Gryf Słupsk - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTW
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Sion	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.11.25	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Lausanne-Sport - Servette	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWL

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