Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Salam Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	ZED		Ghazl El Mahalla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.86	2.81	3.11
	2.78	2.53	3.19	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.88
	2.62	2.59	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.96)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	3 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZED
34.1%

Draw
34.9%

Ghazl El Mahalla
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

37.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

37.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	63.6%	27.3%

ZED - Ghazl El Mahalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mazzika M. (G) 30. Gamal A. (C) 3. Bakri A. 32. Bostangy A. 26. Mutumosi Zilu P. 19. Emad A. 15. Ibrahim S. 20. Alaa H. 25. El Sayed Z. 12. Osama Nabih Y. 9. Atef A.	16. Amer M. (C) 39. Abdelsalam M. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 17. Bolbol M. 19. Armoosha 9. Arfaoui R. 7. Ashraf M. 41. Saidi K. 42. Salah M.
Substitutes
18. Ahmed El Sageery 33. El Sayed A. (G) 4. Fathy A. 13. Keita A. 7. Khalil R. 45. Mahmoud M. 14. Messi 35. Sawaneh M. 90. Yasser M.	21. Awadalla Ahmed M. 37. El Moghzi M. 1. El Nafarawy A. (G) 5. Emam S. 22. Etman A. 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 13. Oufa M. 20. Toure M.
Coaches
Shawky M.	Abdelaal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Ibrahim S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Armoosha ⚽, Salah M. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Atef A. ⚽, Bakri A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
59', 2 - 2, Atef A. ⚽, Emad A. (A),
71', Ashraf M. 🟨,
71', Emad A. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
72', Osama Nabih Y. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
75', Salah M. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
75', Bolbol M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
83', Armoosha ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
87', Arfaoui R. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
87', Ashraf M. ↓, Oufa M. ↑,
90', Ibrahim S. ↓, Fathy A. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Khalil R. ⚽,
90+4', Atef A. ↓, Messi ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ghazl El Mahalla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, ZED won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	ZED	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

ZED - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZED FC
Egyptian Cup
10.05.26	ZED - Pyramids	1:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
07.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - ZED	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	ZED - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	ZED - Pharco	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - ZED	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWL
- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
07.05.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
20.02.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	0:0
12.03.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	0:3
23.02.25	ZED - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0
Egyptian League Cup
12.12.24	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	3:1

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