Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	ZED		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.65	3.3
	2.28	2.68	3.65	Watch
	2.45	2.7	4.17
	2.32	2.64	3.85	Watch
	2.3	2.6	3.6
	2.28	2.48	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	2.63 ↓ (2.79)	3.74 (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZED
40.1%

Draw
35.2%

El Gouna
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

33.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

34.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

ZED - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 1 - 25%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lotfi A. (C) 23. Alaa T. 3. Bakri A. 5. Tarek A. 24. Rabia M. 77. Saber M. 88. Kabaka 37. Magassa M. 11. Saad M. 10. Hussein S. 17. Abdelrahman El Sakran	23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 3. Khaled A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 30. Emad M. 17. Gamal A. 10. Mahmoud M. 13. El Gazar O. 9. Mohsen M.
Substitutes
20. Alaa H. 9. Atef A. 25. El Sayed Z. 30. Gamal A. 15. Ibrahim S. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 26. Mutumosi Zilu P. 12. Osama Nabih Y. 90. Yasser M.	25. El Said A. 6. Ibrahim H. 90. Karim A. 39. Khaled A. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M. 11. Mohamed S. E. D. A. 29. Ojo T. 36. Turay A.
Coaches
Shawky M.	Bebo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', El Gazar O. 🟨,
23', El Gazar O. 🟥,
27', Emad M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Gamal A. ⚽, Mohsen M. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Khaled A. ⚽,
38', Taalab A. 🟨,
41', Mohsen M. 🟨,
45+1', Gamal A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Saber M. ⚽,
45+6', Bakri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alaa T. ↓, Atef A. ↑,
46', Mahmoud M. ↓, El Said A. ↑,
46', Bakri A. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
62', Gamal A. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Saber M. ⚽, Kabaka (A),
73', Taalab A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
73', Mohsen M. ↓, Turay A. ↑,
74', Hussein S. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
86', Tarek A. 🟨,
89', Magassa M. ↓, El Sayed Z. ↑,
90+3', Turay A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, ZED has had a series of away games.

ZED could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ZED won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	ZED	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

ZED - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

El Gouna - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZED FC
Egyptian Premier League
28.04.26	ZED - Pharco	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - ZED	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Modern Sport - ZED	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Petrojet - ZED	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
29.04.26	El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Pharco - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	El Gouna - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Modern Sport - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
30.08.25	El Gouna - ZED	1:1
11.04.25	ZED - El Gouna	1:2
31.10.24	El Gouna - ZED	0:0
22.04.24	ZED - El Gouna	3:0
27.09.23	El Gouna - ZED	0:1
22.08.20	El Gouna - ZED	0:1
Egyptian Cup
03.12.19	ZED - El Gouna	1:0 penalties

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