Match Info

Division 2 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	2.27	3.55	2.92
				Watch
	2.17	3.46	2.86	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.02 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
43.4%

Draw
26.1%

Podhale Nowy Targ
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie 2 Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matysek A. (G) 9. Adamski R. 3. Bondarenko M. 10. Czekala M. 8. Drozdzik O. 7. Kruszelnicki P. (C) 11. Laskowski K. 4. Lepczynski K. 20. Marek 5. Moczynski B. 2. Zynek B.	1. Styrczula M. (C) 25. Burkiewicz A. 18. Kozarzewski A. 87. Kurzeja B. 23. Marcinho 19. Michota M. 11. Purcha B. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R.
Substitutes
. Antkiewicz F. . Gregorski D. . Jach J. . Kaczmarek K. . Koczy K. . Lipp M. . Malczuk N. . Rachubinski M. . Slobodzian D. (G)	10. Duda P. 99. Giel P. 5. Lukco L. 3. Miroshnyk R. 9. Niedzialkowski M. 26. Nowak A. 12. Solobchuk K. (G) 17. Ustupski W. 27. Zebala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽,
17', Lepczynski K. ↓, Jach J. ↑,
18', 1 - 1, Burkiewicz A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Burkiewicz A. ⚽,
61', Czekala M. ↓, Kaczmarek K. ↑,
61', Laskowski K. ↓, Antkiewicz F. ↑,
67', Michota M. 🟨,
68', Purcha B. ↓, Nowak A. ↑,
75', Adamski R. 🟨,
83', Antkiewicz F. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', Seweryn M. ↓, Gregorski D. ↑,
89', Seweryn L. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', Nowak A. 🟨,
90+4', Kurzeja B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.

Zagłębie 2 is Relegated to

Recent performances by Zagłębie 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Podhale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zagłębie 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Podhale has had a series of home games.

Zagłębie 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
15.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:3 ✺
07.06.25	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3 ✺
30.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Swit Skolwin	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
15.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:3 ✺
11.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Legia II	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Lewart Lubartów	4:0 ✺
30.05.25	Unia Tarnów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
15.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:3

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