Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 30

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Starowice Dolne

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.9	8.3
	1.23	5.95	7.9
	1.25	5.98	7.82	Watch
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.3	5.76	7.33	Watch
	1.3	4.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	5.57 ↑ (4.8)	7.73 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
72%

Draw
16.3%

Starowice Dolne
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

17.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Starowice Dolne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starowice Dolne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Starowice Dolne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gregorski D. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Gregorski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Drozdzik O. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Nowogonski D. ⚽,
68', 5 - 0, Nowogonski D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Zagłębie 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Starowice is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zagłębie 2 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zaglebie II	11	6	5	0	23:13	10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.05.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:5 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:4 ✺
04.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT
- LZS Starowice Dolne
Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Starowice Dolne	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Starowice Dolne - Kluczbork	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Starowice Dolne	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Starowice Dolne - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.10.25	Starowice Dolne - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3

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