Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV


	Zagłębie Lubin		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.78	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.99
	2.53	3.24	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3.55	2.82	Watch
	2.54	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.04)	3.32 ↑ (3.09)	2.84 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
38.5%

Draw
28.3%

Widzew Łódź
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 31. Orlikowski I. 4. Michalski D. 5. Lawniczak A. (C) 3. Yakuba R. 77. Szmyt K. 18. Radwanski A. 39. Kocaba F. 35. Lucic L. 55. Rocha L. 44. Regula M.	98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 5. Andreou S. 4. Zyro M. 3. Kozlovsky S. 77. Baena Perez A. 6. Shehu J. 55. Czyz S. 19. Pawlowski B. (C) 9. Zeqiri A. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
16. Corluka J. 27. Diaz J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 6. Makowski T. 71. Nowogonski K. 2. Sochan K. 19. Sypek J. 11. Wozniak A.	57. Akere S. 10. Alvarez F. 27. Ba P. M. 7. Fornalczyk M. 13. Gallapeni D. 25. Hanousek Mar. 30. Ilic V. (G) 20. Klukowski A. 8. Teklic T. 24. Volanakis P.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Bergier S. 🟨,
18', Kocaba F. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
45', Baena Perez A. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
46', Szmyt K. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
66', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
68', Kozlovsky S. 🟨,
74', Lucic L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
75', Bergier S. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
75', Kozlovsky S. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
75', Pawlowski B. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
77', Lawniczak A. 🟨,
77', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
81', Czyz S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
85', Shehu J. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Makowski T. (A),
90+3', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
90+4', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
90+5', Hanousek Mar. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Widzew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamczyk H. (Inactive) Dabrowski D. (Inactive) Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Widzew: Therkildsen P. (Inactive) Visus R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Widzew: Selahi L. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.31%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	5:1 ✺
07.11.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWTL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Cup
02.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.11.25	Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
29.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
10.05.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	2:1
09.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0
12.05.24	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:3
11.11.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	1:1
29.04.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	2:0

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