Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Lechia Gdańsk		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.45	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.53	3.2
	2.33	3.70	2.80	Watch
	2.26	3.4	2.97	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.37)	3.48 ↑ (3.14)	2.97 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
41.4%

Draw
27%

Widzew Łódź
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 15. Dyachuk M. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 79. Sezonienko K. 89. Bobcek T. 99. Neugebauer T.	30. Ilic V. (G) 5. Andreou S. 14. Visus R. 4. Zyro M. (C) 13. Gallapeni D. 55. Czyz S. 77. Baena Perez A. 10. Alvarez F. 6. Shehu J. 7. Fornalczyk M. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
72. Awad M. 8. Cirkovic A. 21. Glogowski M. 44. Kaczorowski M. (G) 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 3. Olsson E. 4. Pllana B. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B.	57. Akere S. 27. Ba P. M. 25. Hanousek Mar. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 3. Kozlovsky S. 19. Pawlowski B. 8. Teklic T. 16. Therkildsen P. 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Carver J.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gallapeni D. 🟨,
44', Baena Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Shehu J. (A),
59', 1 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽, Sezonienko K. (A),
61', Czyz S. 🟨,
67', Gallapeni D. ↓, Kozlovsky S. ↑,
67', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
72', Kapic R. 🟨,
77', Baena Perez A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
77', Alvarez F. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
90+1', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
90+7', Czyz S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
90+11', Kapic R. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
90+13', Bergier S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.

In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Widzew is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 33.84%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWT
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.10.25	Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.25	Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
27.09.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź	1:1
10.02.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź	0:0
31.07.22	Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk	2:3
15.03.14	Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź	2:0
06.10.13	Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk	4:1
20.05.13	Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2

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