Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 24

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday


	Zagatala		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.38	Watch
	6.99	4.27	1.42
	7	4.33	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↓ (7.01)	4.31 ↑ (4.17)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
13.1%

Draw
21.2%

Shamakhi
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

22.2%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

21.6%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Safarov Q. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Agcabayov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Zagatala is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shamakhi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagatala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shamakhi is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagatala won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagatala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
25.04.24	İmişli - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Zagatala - Araz Saatlı	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Zagatala	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Zagatala - Karvan	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Zagatala - MOIK Baku	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTL
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan First Division
26.04.24	Shamakhi - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	İrəvan - Shamakhi	2:6 ✺
11.04.24	Shamakhi - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	MOIK Baku - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
28.02.24	Shamakhi - Zagatala	1:1
Azerbaijan Cup
30.11.23	Zagatala - Shamakhi	0:1
Azerbaijan First Division
09.11.23	Zagatala - Shamakhi	1:1

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