Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 22

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	İrəvan		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	6.96	4.43	1.41
	7.5	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (4.69)	4.64 ↑ (4.09)	1.36 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İrəvan
12.5%

Draw
19.8%

Shamakhi
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

22.7%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İrəvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İrəvan's form might have worsened.

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamakhi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İrəvan than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İrəvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, Qurbanov S. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Teymurov B. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Tagiyev E. (Pen),
37', 1 - 3, Safarov Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 4, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
67', 1 - 5, Bagirov S. ⚽,
82', 1 - 6, Tagiyev E. (Pen),
84', 2 - 6, Aliyev B. ⚽,

Preview

İrəvan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shamakhi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shamakhi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches İrəvan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams İrəvan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İrəvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
10.04.24	İmişli - İrəvan	3:2 ✺
04.04.24	İrəvan - Araz Saatlı	1:4 ✺
28.03.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İrəvan	3:0 ✺
14.03.24	İrəvan - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
07.03.24	Difai Ağsu - İrəvan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan First Division
11.04.24	Shamakhi - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	MOIK Baku - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
13.03.24	Shamakhi - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
07.03.24	Karvan - Shamakhi	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
15.02.24	Shamakhi - İrəvan	2:0
26.10.23	İrəvan - Shamakhi	1:3

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