Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	MOIK Baku		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.4	Watch
	2.75	2.98	2.27
	2.75	2.98	2.28
	2.38	3.3	2.45
	3.18	2.8	2.32
	2.95	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	2.35 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
31.8%

Draw
30%

Shamakhi
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamakhi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Huseynov R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

MOIK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shamakhi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches MOIK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams MOIK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
29.03.24	Zagatala - MOIK Baku	0:1 ✺
14.03.24	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	4:1 ✺
06.03.24	MOIK Baku - Araz Saatlı	6:4 ✺
28.02.24	İrəvan - MOIK Baku	0:7 ✺
21.02.24	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWT
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan First Division
29.03.24	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
13.03.24	Shamakhi - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
07.03.24	Karvan - Shamakhi	0:6 ✺
28.02.24	Shamakhi - Zagatala	1:1 ✺
22.02.24	Difai Ağsu - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
26.12.23	Shamakhi - MOIK Baku	2:0
05.10.23	MOIK Baku - Shamakhi	3:3
Club Friendly
13.10.18	Shamakhi - MOIK Baku	5:1
Azerbaijan Cup
29.11.17	MOIK Baku - Shamakhi	0:3

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