Match Info
I Liqa - Round 11Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday
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Zagatala |
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MOIK Baku |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.55 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.67 |
3.29 |
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 |
2.10 |
3.40 |
3.09 |
Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
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 |
1.85 |
3.44 |
3.69 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.88) |
3.46 ↑
(3.4) |
3.38 ↓
(3.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Zagatala
47.3% | Draw
26% | MOIK Baku
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Zagatala - MOIK Baku Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagatala (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Zagatala (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagatala (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 2, Abdurahmanov Z. ⚽,
- 55', 🟥,
- 63', Qurbanly N. 🟥,
- 65', 1 - 2, Shabanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Faracov S. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2.Zagatala is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).MOIK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Zagatala might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 25.09.25 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 0:1 | | 02.05.25 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 1:0 | | 28.02.25 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 0:0 | | 27.11.24 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 3:1 | | 29.03.24 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 0:1 | | 13.12.23 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 2:1 | | 28.09.23 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
