Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 33

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Polonia Nysa		Sparta Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.32	2.68
	2.3	3.36	2.77
	2.77	3.51	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.77)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	2.51 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Nysa
37.1%

Draw
26.7%

Sparta Katowice
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

25.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Nysa's performance.

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Katowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Nysa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Katowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Polonia Nysa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sparta Katowice is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Nysa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sparta Katowice will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24
17	Nysa	11	2	2	7	12:24	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Polonia Nysa	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Nysa	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Słowianin Wolibórz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	Sparta Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Sparta Katowice	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sparta Katowice - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Sparta Katowice	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Sparta Katowice - Polonia Nysa	1:1

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