Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zagłębie Lubin		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.45
	2.58	3.15	2.68
	2.68	3.19	2.85
	2.6	3.21	2.85	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.8
	2.41	3.39	2.92	Watch
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.32)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.73 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
36%

Draw
29.5%

Piast Gliwice
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Piast will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alomerovic Z. (G) 25. Nalepa M. (C) 4. Michalski D. 5. Lawniczak A. 13. Grzybek M. 39. Kocaba F. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 16. Corluka J. 37. Kerk S. 44. Regula M. 9. Kosidis M.	75. Gril D. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 98. Lokilo J. 31. Lesniak O. 77. Mucha S. 19. Ntamack S.
Substitutes
6. Colina D. 8. Dabrowski D. 26. Kolan J. 19. Lyczko S. 88. Mlinaric M. 95. Nowak F. (G) 71. Nowogonski K. 31. Orlikowski I. 7. Sypek J. 17. Szabo L. 18. Szymczak F. 94. Urbanski M.	4. Czerwinski J. 7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 90. Lima I. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 15. Pitan L. 11. Sanca L. 99. Twumasi E. 80. Vallejo H.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kerk S. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
46', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
46', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
67', Mucha S. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
68', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Sypek J. ⚽, Grzybek M. (A),
75', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
75', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
75', Lokilo J. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Regula M. ⚽, Sypek J. (A),
87', Borowski F. ↓, Twumasi E. ↑,
90', Grzybek M. ↓, Colina D. ↑,
90+5', Regula M. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
90+9', Szymczak F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.

Zagłębie Lubin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zagłębie Lubin has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Zaglebie: 1.65% Piast Gliwice: 1.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Piast Gliwice - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.6%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Podbrezová	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- Piast Gliwice
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	GKS Katowice - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
07.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:3
30.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:2
01.03.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	0:1
24.08.24	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
15.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0
07.10.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	1:1
12.02.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	0:2

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