The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Lubin 24.1%
Draw 28.7%
Raków Częstochowa 47.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30%
29.1%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
28.4%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
7.7%
76.9%
Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Raków will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 54% – 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Raków (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 4. Michalski D. 25. Nalepa M. (C) 3. Yakuba R. 39. Kocaba F. 26. Kolan J. 7. Kowalczyk S. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 16. Corluka J. 9. Kosidis M.
48. Zych O. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 19. Ameyaw M. 6. Repka O. 23. Struski K. 20. Silva J. C. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 8. Pienko T. 18. Brunes J.
Substitutes
8. Dabrowski D. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 84. Ligocki J. 35. Lucic L. 6. Makowski T. 88. Mlinaric M. 31. Orlikowski I. 18. Radwanski A. 44. Regula M. 19. Sypek J. 17. Szabo L. 11. Wozniak A.
22. Abraham O. 11. Adriano 39. Brusberg I. 5. Bulat M. 35. Ilenic M. 9. Makuch P. 2. Mosor A. 21. Napieraj J. 17. Rocha L. 1. Trelowski K. (G) 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.
Tomczyk L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Repka O. 🟨,
45+2', Kocaba F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
46', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
46', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
50', Silva J. C. 🟨,
61', Kolan J. 🟨,
66', Pienko T. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
66', Struski K. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
78', Ameyaw M. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
83', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
90', Radwanski A. 🟨,
90+1', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
90+2', Rocha L. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Zagłębie Lubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Popielec C.
(Inactive)
Regula M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P.
(Inactive)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Lopez I.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Zaglebie
12
5
4
3
15:15
0
19
18
Rakow
12
2
0
10
16:28
-12
6
Last Results with these Odds
Zagłębie Lubin - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Canada
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Finland
Poland
Ukraine
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Buric J. (G) 
Grzybek M. 
Yakuba R. 
Kosidis M. 
Tudor F. (C) 
Racovitan B. 
Silva J. C. 
Diaby-Fadiga L. 
Brunes J. 
Szabo L. 
Abraham O. 
Adriano 
Brusberg I. 
Ilenic M. 
Rocha L. 
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