Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.62	3.57
	2.19	3.24	3.59
	2	3.2	3.25
	2.11	3.24	3.38
	2.08	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.65)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
44.6%

Draw
28.2%

Chrobry Głogów
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Chrobry will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 96. Calinski P. 13. Dalic V. 27. Jonczy D. 16. Ryndak D. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 18. Guezen D. 20. Klups T. 55. Karwot M. 95. Zielonka N. 11. Fabry M.	1. Weglarz D. (G) 44. Zarowny A. 3. Michalec M. 33. Malczuk N. 80. Tabis K. 16. Mandrysz R. 14. Biel B. 77. Hanc D. 7. Bogusz A. 9. Ozimek M. 11. Lebedynski M.
Substitutes
28. Bebenek K. 9. Bilinski K. 14. Bonecki S. 10. Camara J. 4. Machala M. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 80. Uchnast L. 77. Wrzesinski K. 19. Ziemann M.	22. Dybowski K. (G) 6. Gorski S. . Janiszewski K. . Mackowiak M. 31. Paz J. 20. Pieczarka E. 21. Stuglis E. 92. Tworzydlo A.
Coaches
Derbin A.	Plewnia P.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chrobry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chrobry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
15.12.23	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
08.12.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Motor Lublin	0:4 ✺
26.11.23	Miedź Legnica - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	1:3 ✺
03.11.23	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLT
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
16.12.23	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Katowice	1:4 ✺
09.12.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Chrobry Głogów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.11.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
12.11.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
21.08.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
22.05.22	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:0
13.11.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	3:2
15.05.21	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
21.11.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
03.07.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	0:2

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