Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.55
	2.85	3	2.4
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.08	3.05	2.61
	3.08	2.98	2.61
	2.9	2.9	2.38
	3.03	3.02	2.4
	2.94	2.94	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.43)	2.98 ↓ (3.21)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
31.3%

Draw
31.3%

Odra Opole
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Odra Opole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shevchenko O. (G) 23. Matynia H. 44. Remy W. 27. Jonczy D. 3. Sukhotskyi A. 77. Wrzesinski K. 10. Janota M. (C) 29. Rozwandowicz M. 7. Polyarus A. 20. Kirejczyk G. 97. Sokol D.	30. Haluch A. (G) 9. Mikinic T. 27. Kaminski M. (C) 3. Piroch J. 24. Szrek J. 5. Niziolek R. 13. Purzycki A. 10. Hebel M. 32. Wrobel M. 77. Galan B. 98. Sula D.
Substitutes
9. Bilinski K. 6. Dovgyi O. 11. Fabry M. 33. Kos M. (G) 5. Lipka K. 4. Szlachta K. 88. Troc A. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N.	25. Antczak J. 1. Burta J. (G) 6. Continella V. 11. Czaplinski D. 8. Kaminski W. 4. Kedziora L. 94. Nowak K. 7. Sarmiento J. 29. Surzyn M.
Coaches
Khatskevich A.	Nocon A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Odra Opole is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odra Opole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
03.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.02.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLT
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
02.03.24	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	GKS Tychy - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Odra Opole - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Odra Opole - Kluczbork	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.08.23	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
18.02.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	0:2
29.07.22	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	2:1
Polish Division 1
25.02.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	1:1
19.08.21	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
13.03.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	0:2

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