Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.55	3.1	2.65
	2.6	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.57
	2.71	3.13	2.81
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.49	3.12	2.61
	2.65	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.24)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
36.2%

Draw
29.6%

Znicz Pruszków
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

30.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Znicz will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Znicz: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shevchenko O. (G) 2. Bykov O. 27. Jonczy D. 44. Remy W. 97. Sokol D. 6. Dovgyi O. 10. Janota M. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.	1. Mleczko M. (G) 47. Blyszko W. 10. Grudzinski M. 5. Tkachuk Y. 3. Yukhymovych D. 30. Nowak W. 6. Pomorski K. 8. Proczek T. 11. Moskwik P. 9. Stanclik D. 22. Tabara K.
Substitutes
14. Bonecki S. 96. Calinski P. 18. Guezen D. . Kirejczyk G. 33. Kos M. (G) 23. Sukhotskyi A. 88. Troc A. 77. Wrzesinski K.	99. Brysiak H. 14. Flisiuk K. 26. Kendzia F. 91. Krajewski M. 12. Misztal P. (G) 20. Skladowski F. 46. Wawszczyk J.
Coaches
Khatskevich A.	Misiura M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Znicz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Znicz have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Club Friendly
06.02.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
20.01.24	Ružomberok - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.12.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL
- Znicz Pruszków
Club Friendly
07.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - ŁKS Łódź II	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
31.01.24	Znicz Pruszków - Unia Skierniewice	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Znicz Pruszków - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Znicz Pruszków - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
04.08.23	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
01.04.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	0:3
03.09.16	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4
Polish Division 2
24.05.15	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
30.10.14	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	3:2

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