Match Info

Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.6	3.7	4.8	Watch
	1.56	4.15	5.42	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.9
	1.5	3.88	5.74	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	4.79 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
56.6%

Draw
24.4%

Olimpia Elbląg
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+2%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 22. Acosta M. 21. Agbor E. 2. Bykov O. 3. Janiszewski G. 8. Marciniec P. 20. Pawlusinski M. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 17. Valencia J. (C) 16. Wasiluk B.	1. Valion A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 21. Lorenc M. 20. Semeniv D. 16. Szalecki D. 14. Tyaglo O. 30. Wierzba D. (C) 17. Zielinski W.
Substitutes
9. Bilinski K. 23. Checinski B. 33. Kos M. (G) 4. Kurtovic R. . Mielczarek P. 10. Mularczyk P. 92. Rakels D. 7. Zalewski S. 77. Zawojski B.	15. Fyk O. 26. Jasinski M. 19. Kozera D. 27. Matyjaszczyk W. (G) 3. Matynia H. 7. Skwierczynski K. 25. Sznajder F. 10. Yatsenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Semeniv D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Zielinski W. ⚽,
54', Agbor E. 🟨,
56', Marciniec P. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
56', Acosta M. ↓, Rakels D. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Agbor E. ⚽,
73', Snopczynski B. ↓, Bilinski K. ↑,
74', Semeniv D. ↓, Yatsenko O. ↑,
76', Bykov O. ↓, Checinski B. ↑,
76', Pawlusinski M. ↓, Mularczyk P. ↑,
81', Bilinski K. 🟨,
82', Kordykiewicz O. ↓, Fyk O. ↑,
83', Szalecki D. ↓, Skwierczynski K. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Bilinski K. ⚽,
89', Czaplinski D. ↓, Jasinski M. ↑,
89', Czernis M. ↓, Kozera D. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Elbląg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zagłębie Sosnowiec is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
30.03.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4 ✺
22.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWT
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
02.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.09.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1

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