Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 19

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.66	3.5	4.7
	2.13	3.51	3.13
	1.76	3.46	4.83	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.77	3.33	4.93	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	4.64 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
53.5%

Draw
26.6%

Olimpia Elbląg
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

22.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Jastrzębie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drazik G. (G) 10. Ali F. 17. Fietz K. 24. Iskra J. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 11. Kiebzak S. 22. Masiak K. 16. Piatek J. (C) 48. Piatek K. 4. Rogala S. 3. Szwiec D.	1. Valion A. (G) 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 20. Semeniv D. 7. Skwierczynski K. 16. Szalecki D. 30. Wierzba D. 17. Zielinski W.
Substitutes
25. Baranowski P. 28. Czerwik J. 31. Flak J. 27. Jakuc O. 77. Madembo T. 90. Matysek S. 20. Paprzycki O. 99. Rusin W. (G) 7. Sliwa M.	12. Czaplinski D. 15. Fyk O. 26. Jasinski M. 19. Kozera D. 27. Matyjaszczyk W. (G) 25. Sznajder F. 14. Tyaglo O. 10. Yatsenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Wierzba D. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 1.

GKS Jastrzębie is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elbląg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match GKS Jastrzębie is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
28.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Jastrzębie	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLLTW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
27.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
17.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2
02.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1
04.06.23	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1
26.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2
07.04.18	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1
09.09.17	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1

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