Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec) 🌤️ ...


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Raków Częstochowa II

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.40	6.00
	1.34	4.60	6.10
	1.41	4.65	5.90
	1.43	4.47	5.9	Watch
	1.39	4.30	5.60
	1.42	4.61	6.40	Watch
	1.40	4.45	5.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	4.5 ↑ (4)	5.91 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
64.7%

Draw
20.1%

Raków Częstochowa II
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.8%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Raków Częstochowa II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Raków Częstochowa II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Podgorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 17th in the Relegation).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Raków II has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Raków II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, Zagłębie Sosnowiec enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Zagłębie Sosnowiec in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	11	31
16	Rakow II	13	3	3	7	17:25	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Polonia Nysa - Raków Częstochowa II	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Raków Częstochowa II - Sparta Katowice	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.10.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	✺
- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.11.26	Raków Częstochowa II - Kluczbork	✺
30.10.26	Raków Częstochowa II - ROW Rybnik	✺

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Raków Częstochowa II