Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)


	Zamora		Angostura

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.27	2.86	3.69
	2.28	2.71	3.69
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.3	2.75	3.61
	2.15	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
42.1%

Draw
31.6%

Angostura
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Angostura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Zamora - Angostura Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Angostura will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angostura: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Teran L. (G) 14. Ramirez I. 4. Caricote Y. 2. Osorio C. 17. Quinones R. 29. Cadenas J. 8. Flores A. (C) 25. Quintero M. 99. Rodriguez S. 70. Montero Y. 7. Marquez M.	24. Gallo M. (G) 3. Saab K. 4. Montanez A. 13. Matos A. 17. Farreras A. 5. Pereira E. 21. Moreno D. 80. Gomez C. 25. Meza D. 11. Maza R. 30. Ramirez B.
Substitutes
27. Castillo A. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 9. Lopez A. 30. Melo L. 3. Mosquera Y. 19. Navas C. 10. Ramirez P. 18. Rangel L. 11. Rivas Y. 21. Torres J. 5. Vargas L. 13. Walker E.	99. Borges K. 20. Castellanos J. 23. D'Agostino A. 2. Escudero Y. 31. Gomez J. 26. Gonzalez E. 1. Lopez V. (G) 18. Lovera J. 28. Pacheco J. 79. Roca C. 9. Velasco A.
Coaches
Maggiolo E.	Castillo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Maza R. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Marquez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
46', Cadenas J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
60', Quintero M. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
63', Pereira E. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
63', Moreno D. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
73', Marquez M. ↓, Navas C. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Lovera J. ⚽, Meza D. (A),
78', Lovera J. 🟨,
78', Maza R. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
83', Montero Y. 🟨,
83', Montero Y. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
83', Meza D. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
85', Lopez A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Zamora is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Angostura is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zamora will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zamora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.03.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Zamora	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Carabobo - Zamora	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Zamora - Caracas	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Universidad Central - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLTT
- Angostura FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.03.24	Angostura - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	Caracas - Angostura	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Angostura - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Rayo Zuliano - Angostura	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Angostura - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
24.06.23	Zamora - Angostura	3:2
19.05.23	Angostura - Zamora	2:1

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