Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Zamora		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	2.98	3.6
	2.12	3.09	3.73
	2.2	3.05	3.56	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.05	2.97	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.24)	3 ↓ (3.22)	3.66 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
44%

Draw
30.8%

Caracas
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Zamora - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Graterol J. (G) 77. Jimenez N. 13. Matos A. 25. Mosquera J. 6. Benitez G. 70. Espinal F. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 23. Cedeno J. 40. Valladares I. (C) 10. Celis R. 17. Acuna R.	1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 19. Mago L. (C) 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 33. Correa W. 37. Vegas C. 17. Reinoso L. 10. Covea M. 9. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
9. Alvarez M. 29. Barragan J. 5. Barrios E. 12. Corredor L. (G) 28. Exime J. 8. Flores A. 7. Gallardo E. 21. Gonzalez J. 20. Guerrero R. 4. Rodriguez B. 14. Sulbaran S. 30. Torrealba S.	27. Gonzalez S. 14. La Mantia F. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 7. Robert Hernandez 32. Uribe J. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Sanvicente N.	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Covea M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Fereira Penaranda E. E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Matos A. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
52', Cedeno J. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
55', Benitez G. 🟨,
60', Jimenez N. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
63', Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↓, Pagano L. ↑,
63', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
64', Sulbaran S. 🟨,
69', Covea M. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
69', Vegas C. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
72', Celis R. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
73', Benitez G. ↓, Exime J. ↑,
84', Reinoso L. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
85', Correa W. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Valladares I. ⚽, Sulbaran S. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zamora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
13	Zamora	11	2	2	7	10:21	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.04.26	Metropolitanos - Zamora	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Zamora - Monagas	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Trujillanos - Zamora	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Táchira - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWLL
- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Caracas - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.04.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
20.09.25	Caracas - Zamora	2:0
13.04.25	Zamora - Caracas	3:0
09.11.24	Caracas - Zamora	3:1
02.11.24	Zamora - Caracas	2:1
27.08.24	Caracas - Zamora	2:1
09.03.24	Zamora - Caracas	2:2
12.08.23	Caracas - Zamora	4:0

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