The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 32%
Draw 30.1%
Academia Puerto Cabello 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
28.7%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
30%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Academia Puerto Cabello's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Reyes J. (G) 13. Moreno J. 6. Manenti F. 42. Pernia H. 40. Valladares I. 18. Porcile P. 8. Flores A. (C) 31. Ramirez I. 23. Vides B. 10. Grassano T. 15. Sequera J.
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 15. Mbaye M. 23. Hernandez Y. 14. Awudu Abdul 6. Cedeno J. 24. Contreras H. (C) 17. Martinez J. 8. Meza D. 11. Pernia E.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez P. 27. Caceres J. 20. Chacon P. 7. Gallardo E. 3. Gonzalez J. 12. Graterol J. (G) 4. Matos A. 19. Romero A. 14. Sulbaran S. 9. Univaso A.
28. Aboubakar D. 7. Arace R. 30. Casiani L. 5. Figueroa I. 20. Guerrero R. 22. Herrera E. (G) 16. Makosso K. 77. Marco Bustillo 32. Mehring A. (G) 13. Peraza E. 9. Ponce A. 18. Rojas R.
Coaches
Morr J.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Mbaye M. 🟨,
14', Pernia H. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
34', Porcile P. 🟨,
44', Ramos J. 🟥,
45+2', Martinez J. ↓, Peraza E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 0.
Zamora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Puerto Cabello is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Zamora - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.