Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Zamora		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.94	3.05	3.75
	1.84	3.25	3.83
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.34	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	3.73 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
46.6%

Draw
29.1%

Aragua
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

31.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+1%)

Zamora - Aragua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 0.

Zamora is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Aragua is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zamora will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Zamora won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.04.22	Zamora - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
24.03.22	Carabobo - Zamora	1:1 ✺
17.03.22	Zamora - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Caracas - Zamora	1:1 ✺
04.03.22	Zamora - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Aragua	0:3 ✺
18.03.22	Aragua - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1 ✺
10.03.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Aragua	2:1 ✺
04.03.22	Aragua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
10.12.20	Aragua - Zamora	3:1
15.11.20	Zamora - Aragua	2:0
15.02.20	Zamora - Aragua	1:0
Club Friendly
14.01.20	Zamora - Aragua	0:1
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.10.19	Zamora - Aragua	0:0
03.05.19	Aragua - Zamora	0:2
28.10.18	Zamora - Aragua	1:0

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