The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 63.9%
Draw 21.9%
Zamora 14.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
26.7%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
26%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Caracas - Zamora Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 39. Villarreal A. 8. Gudino I. 33. Correa W. 22. Figueroa A. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. De Santis J.
1. Paredes E. (G) 40. Valladares I. 4. Rodriguez B. 13. Matos A. 28. Exime J. 7. Gallardo E. 16. Diaz Moreno C. M. 8. Flores A. (C) 70. Espinal F. 30. Torrealba S. 38. Sinisterra J.
Substitutes
10. Covea M. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 15. Larotonda C. 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 3. Pagano L. 32. Uribe J. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
9. Flores J. 2. Gomez S. 22. Guerrero E. 17. Guevara M. 77. Jimenez N. 5. Leon A. 11. Manrique H. 6. Moreno J. 25. Mosquera J. 18. Rivas A. 12. Sulbaran Briceno I. J. (G)
Coaches
Sanvicente N.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Robert Hernandez (A),
14', 2 - 0, De Santis J. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Espinal F. 🟨,
31', 3 - 0, Villarreal A. ⚽, Figueroa A. (A),
31', Rodriguez B. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
33', 4 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Robert Hernandez (A),
41', 4 - 1, Torrealba S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Figueroa A. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
56', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
62', Flores A. 🟨,
66', Exime J. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
66', Gallardo E. ↓, Manrique H. ↑,
79', Correa W. ↓, Covea M. ↑,
79', Robert Hernandez ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
79', Villarreal A. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
80', Espinal F. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
80', Torrealba S. ↓, Guevara M. ↑,
80', Flores A. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
83', De Santis J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
Caracas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Zamora has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Caracas carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Caracas has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:23 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Caracas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).
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Benitez F. (G) 
Villarreal A. 
Gudino I. 
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