Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play


	Zamora		Inter de Barinas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.08	2.99	3.74
	2.1	3.08	3.8	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.99	3.18	3.58	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.39)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.61 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
45.2%

Draw
29.5%

Inter de Barinas
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

29.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter de Barinas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter de Barinas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Zamora - Inter de Barinas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Inter de Barinas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez C. (G) 31. Gomez S. 2. Osorio C. 6. Urpin C. 13. Granados J. 30. Melo L. 29. Cadenas J. 20. Sanchez A. 11. Rivas Y. 21. Figueroa R. 9. Lopez A.	12. Curiel L. (G) 35. Urbina L. 4. Manzanilla J. 26. Deusa J. 6. Rodriguez D. 17. Magallan C. 10. Gomez D. 15. Livingstone A. 28. Alvarado J. 13. Martinez C. 27. Rivera J.
Substitutes
17. Acuna R. 27. Castillo A. 7. Marquez M. 70. Montero Y. 3. Mosquera Y. 25. Quintero M. 14. Ramirez I. 19. Romero A. 1. Teran L. (G) 32. Torrealba S.	31. Pernia M.
Coaches
Canas A.	Vielma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Gomez D. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Figueroa R. ⚽, Urpin C. (A),
26', Rivas Y. 🟨,
31', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
37', Mosquera L. 🟨,
40', Manzanilla J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez C. ↓, Castrillo R. ↑,
46', Urbina L. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
46', Cadenas J. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
51', Deusa J. 🟨,
61', Manzanilla J. 🟨,
64', Rivas Y. ↓, Quintero M. ↑,
64', Melo L. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
72', Figueroa R. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
72', Sanchez A. ↓, Torrealba S. ↑,
73', Osorio C. 🟨,
77', Gomez D. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
77', Mosquera L. ↓, Urdaneta A. ↑,
77', Acuna R. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
90+5', Rivera J. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Inter de Barinas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zamora will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Copa Venezuela
07.07.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	1:0 penalties ✺
30.06.24	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
27.06.24	Barquisimeto - Zamora	1:1 ✺
13.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Zamora - Barquisimeto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWW
- Inter de Barinas
Copa Venezuela
07.07.24	Inter de Barinas - Metropolitanos	2:3 ✺
03.07.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Inter de Barinas	3:2 ✺
30.06.24	Inter de Barinas - Atlético El Vigía	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Inter de Barinas - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
13.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTW

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