The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 30.1%
Draw 30%
Zamora 39.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
25.8%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.3%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa Acarígua's form might have worsened.
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zamora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Valladares I. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Sinisterra J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2.
In recent outings, Portuguesa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Zamora is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Portuguesa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:16 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portuguesa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.6 per game).