Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 5

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Inter de Barinas		Atlético El Vigía

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.75
	1.49	4.03	5.92
	1.44	4	6
	1.46	4.05	6.09
	1.5	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	3.94 ↑ (3.88)	5.83 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter de Barinas
61.4%

Draw
23%

Atlético El Vigía
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

16%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter de Barinas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atlético El Vigía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter de Barinas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético El Vigía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Inter de Barinas - Atlético El Vigía Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter de Barinas will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Inter de Barinas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Vigía is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Vigía could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Inter de Barinas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Inter de Barinas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter de Barinas
Copa Venezuela
20.06.24	Inter de Barinas - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
13.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.05.24	Inter de Barinas - Metropolitanos	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Inter de Barinas	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Universidad Central - Inter de Barinas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTLL
- Atlético El Vigía
Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:2 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.24	Aragua - Atlético El Vigía	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Inter de Barinas	1:2

Inter de Barinas - Atlético El Vigía: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide