Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Zamora		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7
	1.37	4	7.75
	1.4	4.17	8.06
	1.37	4.2	8.5
	1.42	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.07 ↑ (3.24)	7.66 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
65.7%

Draw
22.4%

Polvorín
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

26.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Zamora - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Zamora is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polvorín is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polvorín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zamora is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zamora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.03.23	Guijuelo - Zamora	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Zamora - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Zamora - Langreo	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Zamora - Burgos Promesas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWT
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.23	Polvorín - Langreo	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Ourense CF - Polvorín	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Polvorín - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Compostela - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Polvorín - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.11.22	Polvorín - Zamora	0:2

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