The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 47.3%
Draw 28.3%
Real Sociedad B 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
28.3%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
27.5%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-1%)
Zamora - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 5. Alvarez A. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 11. Mancebo A. 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. 18. Macho G. 17. Roni
1. Fraga A. (G) 21. Merino J. 24. Beitia L. 5. Astigarraga E. 3. Balda J. 11. Ochieng J. 16. Gibelalde M. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Goti Lopez M. 7. Diaz D. 9. Orobengoa E.
Substitutes
13. Altube D. (G) 22. Castaneda J. 27. Gonzalez N. 2. Gorjon A. 16. Gutierrez C. 24. Rivas L. 19. Speljak K.
23. Agote U. 28. Carbonell T. 18. Garcia E. 37. Garro J. 33. Jimenez J. (G) 31. Marchal A. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Claveria P. 🟨,
28', Balda J. 🟨,
40', Alvarez A. 🟨,
45+1', Campabadal E. ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roni ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
53', Diaz D. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
63', Mancebo A. ↓, Gorjon A. ↑,
66', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
66', Rodriguez M. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Orobengoa E. (Own goal),
76', Ochieng J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
90', Lucero R. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Zamora is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).