Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Zamora		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.2	4.4
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.77	3.41	4.85
	1.76	3.37	4.49	Watch
	1.75	3.26	4.92
	1.75	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	4.72 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
52.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sestao
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+3%)

Zamora - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 5. Alvarez A. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 4. Claveria P. 14. Kike 10. Ramos C. 20. Tresaco R. 9. Pito Camacho	13. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 23. Efremov A. 16. Galvez R. 3. Cordero C. 7. Planas A. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 14. Garcia S. 10. Martinez Ortiz L.
Substitutes
13. Altube D. (G) 22. Castaneda J. 2. Gorjon A. 16. Gutierrez C. 18. Macho G. 11. Mancebo A. 24. Rivas L. 17. Roni 19. Speljak K.	9. Aznar D. 12. Barandalla M. 5. Blanco C. 11. Etxaniz J. 22. Etxeberria M. 1. Garrido J. (G) 17. Palacin E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Alvarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Pito Camacho ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Martinez Ortiz L. ⚽,
55', Pito Camacho 🟨,
56', Kike 🟨,
60', Bustillo M. 🟨,
63', Claveria P. ↓, Roni ↑,
63', Pito Camacho ↓, Macho G. ↑,
67', Tresaco R. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
70', Efremov A. 🟨,
75', Herrerin I. ↓, Garrido J. ↑,
76', Planas A. 🟨,
83', Campabadal E. 🟨,
85', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
85', Planas A. ↓, Etxeberria M. ↑,
86', Speljak K. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Etxaniz J. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Zamora is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestao is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zamora is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.24	Barakaldo - Zamora	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Zamora - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Zamora	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barcelona B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWTWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.10.24	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Tarazona - Sestao	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.10.24	Sestao - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	Lugo - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLTW

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