Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Zamora		Yaracuyanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.6
	1.62	3.8	4.5
	1.61	4.07	4.52
	1.71	3.42	5.23	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.4
	1.58	3.7	5.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)	3.7 ↑ (3.68)	4.73 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
55.8%

Draw
24.8%

Yaracuyanos
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

25%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

19%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Yaracuyanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Zamora - Yaracuyanos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yaracuyanos (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Yaracuyanos (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Zamora (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zamora will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Yaracuyanos (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Graterol J. (G) 6. Manenti F. 13. Moreno J. 27. Caceres J. 7. Gallardo E. 14. Sulbaran S. 8. Flores A. (C) 31. Ramirez I. 23. Vides B. 15. Sequera J. 10. Grassano T.	31. Ojeda D. (G) 17. Ibarguen L. 3. Labranche M. 19. Cordoba J. B. 14. Canon M. 15. Mosquera L. 21. Castro M. 18. Cuero J. 7. Vargas C. 9. Perez J. (C) 20. Ordonez E.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez P. 34. Benitez G. 20. Chacon P. 28. Flores J. 4. Matos A. 18. Porcile P. 1. Reyes J. (G) 19. Romero A. 30. Torrealba S. 9. Univaso A. 40. Valladares I.	42. Alvarez L. 80. Amaya M. 29. Campaz A. 8. Chacon J. 1. Gil Y. (G) 16. Gonzalez K. 6. Mendoza C. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 12. Ramirez Y. (G) 99. Viez V.
Coaches
Morr J.	Perez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Ramirez I. 🟨,
44', Grassano T. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castro M. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
46', Cuero J. ↓, Campaz A. ↑,
52', Vides B. ↓, Univaso A. ↑,
61', Univaso A. 🟨,
63', Gallardo E. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
64', Sequera J. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Romero A. ⚽, Valladares I. (A),
73', Canon M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
73', Ordonez E. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
79', Flores A. ↓, Porcile P. ↑,
80', Moreno J. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
89', Campaz A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 3.

Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yaracuyanos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Yaracuyanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zamora is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.07.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.07.25	Zamora - Titanes	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.07.25	Zamora - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTT
- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Carabobo	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Metropolitanos - Yaracuyanos	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Marítimo de La Guaira	1:4 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
02.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Zamora	0:2
11.06.25	Zamora - Yaracuyanos	3:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.02.25	Yaracuyanos - Zamora	2:2
12.01.14	Yaracuyanos - Zamora	1:1
11.08.13	Zamora - Yaracuyanos	2:0
24.03.13	Zamora - Yaracuyanos	4:0
25.03.12	Zamora - Yaracuyanos	1:2

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