Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Florentino Oropeza (San Felipe)

Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)


	Yaracuyanos		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	3.9	1.41
	6.9	3.95	1.44
	7.53	4.02	1.45
	12.56	6.79	1.19	Watch
	8	3.9	1.4
	7.5	3.75	1.43	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.47 ↑ (3.17)	4.22 ↑ (3.08)	1.52 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaracuyanos
13%

Draw
23%

Carabobo
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Yaracuyanos - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yaracuyanos will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Carabobo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Yaracuyanos (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Carabobo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Yaracuyanos (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Carabobo (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ojeda D. (G) 3. Labranche M. 17. Ibarguen L. 19. Cordoba J. B. 7. Vargas C. 15. Mosquera L. 14. Canon M. 20. Ordonez E. 21. Castro M. 9. Perez J. 18. Cuero J.	22. Bruera L. (C) 28. Bonilla P. 27. Rodriguez N. 32. Neira E. 2. Guaramato M. 5. Gonzalez G. 26. Nunez M. 8. Perez J. 14. Berrios J. 9. Londono F. 23. Orozco Y.
Substitutes
42. Alvarez L. 80. Amaya M. 11. Garzon D. 1. Gil Y. (G) 16. Gonzalez K. 23. Machado S. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 99. Viez V.	4. Aponte L. 33. Calabrese S. 1. Gil D. (G) 16. Lopez F. 11. Lucena A. 36. Medina J. 15. Mendoza S. 17. Oliveros F. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 99. Riasco J. 35. Sanoja D. 29. Silva P.
Coaches
Perez D.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Londono F. ⚽, Berrios J. (A),
4', Lucena A. 🟨,
34', Canon M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
35', Neira E. 🟨,
37', Perez J. 🟨,
43', Ibarguen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽, Mosquera L. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Orozco Y. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
64', Vargas C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
64', Castro M. ↓, Amaya M. ↑,
65', Berrios J. ↓, Aponte L. ↑,
73', Orozco Y. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
74', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
75', Cuero J. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
84', Cuero J. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
84', Ordonez E. ↓, Viez V. ↑,
85', Londono F. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
86', Nunez M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 2.

Yaracuyanos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carabobo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Carabobo is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Carabobo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Carabobo - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.07.25	Metropolitanos - Yaracuyanos	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Marítimo de La Guaira	1:4 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:2 ✺
Copa Venezuela
02.07.25	Yaracuyanos - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.07.25	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	2:2 ✺
01.06.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
15.02.25	Carabobo - Yaracuyanos	2:2
Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Yaracuyanos - Carabobo	2:0
06.06.24	Carabobo - Yaracuyanos	0:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.10.21	Carabobo - Yaracuyanos	2:0
19.08.21	Yaracuyanos - Carabobo	1:1
04.07.21	Carabobo - Yaracuyanos	0:1
13.05.21	Yaracuyanos - Carabobo	1:2

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