Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	2.89	2.97	2.50	Watch
	2.69	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	3.17 ↓ (4)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
31.7%

Draw
28.6%

Alacranes de Durango
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

22.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leones Negros 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alacranes de Durango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 0.

Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alacranes de Durango might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Leones Negros 2	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tigres de Álica	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.09.25	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Tecos FC - Alacranes de Durango	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Irapuato - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.01.25	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1
21.09.24	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
13.04.24	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:2
10.11.23	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1
12.03.22	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	2:4
05.11.21	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1
12.03.21	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:4

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