Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
World	LaLiga+ app


	Zaragoza		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.35	3	3.2	Watch
	2.45	3.06	3.36
	2.4	3.02	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.42	2.97	3.32	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	3.29 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
40.3%

Draw
31.1%

Elche
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Zaragoza - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Poussin G. (G) 19. Calero I. 15. Vital B. 24. Lopez L. 4. Tasende D. 10. Bermejo 6. Bare K. 8. Aguado M. 33. Liso A. 7. Soberon M. 22. Mari A.	13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Diaby B. 26. Barzic M. 12. Salinas J. 7. Plano O. 31. Hernandez G. 21. Castro N. 17. Josan 9. Alvarez A. 10. Mercau N.
Substitutes
35. Acin G. (G) 1. Alvarez C. (G) 20. Ares A. 9. Azon I. 5. Clemente E. 14. Francho 26. Gori 3. Jair 12. Kosa S. 2. Luna M. 21. Moya T. 29. Sans P.	22. Affengruber D. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 11. Rashani E. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Fernandez V.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Diaby B. 🟨,
28', Fernandez V. 🟨,
29', Josan 🟨,
31', Nunez A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Soberon M. ⚽,
45', Soberon M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Plano O. 🟥,
57', Aguado M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
60', Sarabia E. 🟨,
63', Barzic M. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
63', Nunez A. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
63', Hernandez G. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
66', Bermejo ↓, Francho ↑,
66', Mari A. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Soberon M. ⚽, Calero I. (A),
72', Alvarez A. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
74', Bare K. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
74', Soberon M. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
77', Kaba S. 🟨,
80', Diaby B. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
83', Mercau N. 🟨,
83', Mario Gaspar 🟨,
84', 3 - 0, Francho ⚽, Liso A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 2.

Zaragoza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Elche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Zaragoza have a series of guest games.

Zaragoza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.24	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.08.24	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Levante - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
07.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.09.24	Elche - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Elche	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Elche - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Elche - Levante	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Orihuela - Elche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	Elche - Zaragoza	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Zaragoza - Elche	1:1
11.11.23	Elche - Zaragoza	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Elche - Zaragoza	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.20	Zaragoza - Elche	0:1
13.08.20	Elche - Zaragoza	0:0
15.02.20	Elche - Zaragoza	1:2

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