The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 32.2%
Draw 32.8%
Zaragoza 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
32.4%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
34.1%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Cartagena - Zaragoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 22. Olivas K. 24. Sipcic N. 3. Rios Reina J. 17. Andy 18. Musto D. (C) 20. Izquierdo J. 6. Mini 23. Teguia C. 7. Valles G.
13. Poussin G. (G) 19. Calero I. 24. Lopez L. 15. Vital B. 4. Tasende D. 10. Bermejo 6. Bare K. 8. Aguado M. 33. Liso A. 7. Soberon M. 11. Bazdar S.
Substitutes
4. Alcala P. 26. Andugar A. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 2. Moreno J. 8. Munoz L. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 12. Vukcevic A.
35. Acin G. (G) 1. Alvarez C. (G) 9. Azon I. 14. Francho 26. Gori 22. Lecoeuche Q. 27. Luna M. 21. Moya T. 31. Sabater J. C. 29. Sans P.
Coaches
Abelardo A.
Fernandez V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Teguia C. ⚽, Izquierdo J. (A),
45+4', Lopez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Bare K. 🟨,
60', Mini 🟨,
65', Teguia C. ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
67', Bermejo ↓, Azon I. ↑,
67', Soberon M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
72', Izquierdo J. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
73', Mini ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
74', Bare K. ↓, Francho ↑,
74', Aguado M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
79', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Sans P. ⚽, Moya T. (A),
85', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
85', Rios Reina J. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
87', Bazdar S. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Francho ⚽, Luna M. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.
Recent matches Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Zaragoza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Zaragoza have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.