Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zarya		Shakhtyor Taganrog

	1	X	2
	6.15	4.31	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.95)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	1.46 (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
15.1%

Draw
21.5%

Shakhtyor Taganrog
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

21.8%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

20.9%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Shakhtyor Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Taganrog than the current prediction. (+2%)

Zarya - Shakhtyor Taganrog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Zakharov M. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Reichman B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2).

Recent performances by Zarya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shakhtyor Taganrog is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Shakhtyor Taganrog is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shahter Taganrog	25	15	5	5	47:25	22	50
10	Lugansk	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
29.08.26	Zarya - Astrakhan	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Zarya	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Zarya - Spartak Nalchik	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Zarya - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Zarya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL
- Shakhtyor Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
29.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Nart Cherkessk	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Astrakhan	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Shakhtyor Taganrog	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Zarya	2:1

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