Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium (Zarzis)


	Zarzis		Étoile du Sahel

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.52	2.98
	2.9	2.5	3.14
	3	2.21	3.32	Watch
	2.7	2.5	2.9
	2.76	2.38	3.04	Watch
	2.85	2.63	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.46 ↓ (2.63)	3 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarzis
32.5%

Draw
37.1%

Étoile du Sahel
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarzis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Charfi S. (G) 7. Ben Dhiaf A. 18. Dhaflaoui Y. 20. Diallo P. 35. Ghouma F. 13. Kassab K. 33. Mahersi G. 92. Nyengue D. . Oluwaseun A. 29. Rahmani M. 28. Rjili L.	39. Landolsi M. (G) 8. Abid O. 30. Anane R. 29. Ben Amor M. 25. Ben Choug F. 26. Boutmene Z. 4. Bouzaabia M. 33. Dagdoug H. 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 21. Kechrida W.
Substitutes
14. Abubakar Y. 5. Chouchane M. 10. Garreb A. 32. Ghanmi H. (G) 11. Jertila M. 19. Onyemuchara D. 27. Tajourii A. 99. Yassine A. M. 24. Zidi M.	19. Bouslama M. 18. Cristo 37. Diawara M. 22. Horchani A. 27. Jebali M. 35. Ouni R. 11. Senghor M. 17. Smichi N. 1. Youssef K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Boutmene Z. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Ghouma F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Ben Dhiaf A. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
76', 3 - 1, Rahmani M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zarzis won 1.

Zarzis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Étoile du Sahel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoile du Sahel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zarzis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zarzis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
12	Zarzis	4	1	0	3	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Zarzis
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.04.26	Marsa - Zarzis	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Zarzis - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Espérance ST - Zarzis	2:2 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Monastir - Zarzis	1:2 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.04.26	Zarzis - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWTWT
- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.04.26	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Stade Gabèsien - Étoile du Sahel	4:3 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.25	Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis	1:0
09.03.25	Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis	0:1
24.11.24	Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel	2:3
16.03.22	Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel	0:3
04.11.21	Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis	1:1
Tunisian Cup
30.05.21	Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel	1:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
31.01.18	Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis	3:1

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