Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Luzino

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.05
	2.06	3.62	3.02	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.03	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.66)	3.52 ↓ (3.79)	3.03 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
44.5%

Draw
25.6%

Luzino
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

22.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zawisza Bydgoszcz's form might have worsened.

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zawisza Bydgoszcz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Cywinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Zawisza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luzino is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zawisza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zawisza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25

Last Results with these Odds

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:4 ✺
13.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wda Świecie	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Luzino	0:5 ✺
13.05.26	Luzino - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Września - Luzino	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:3 ✺
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Luzino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1
25.11.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Luzino	4:1
05.08.23	Luzino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:7

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