Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.72
	3.4	3.5	1.88
	3.32	3.6	1.88
	3.41	3.46	1.96	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.62
	3.55	3.62	1.84	Watch
	3.68	3.78	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	3.58 ↓ (3.78)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
24.7%

Draw
25.2%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Stankiewicz I. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Kona M. ⚽,
33', Dudek S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Kozlowski F. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Szymczak W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 3, Rak S. ⚽,
61', 2 - 4, Rak S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Lech 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zawisza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Zawisza is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Lech 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	6:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWTW
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wda Świecie	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.11.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań 2	3:1
09.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań 2	5:0
23.10.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1

Upcoming Matches