Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.15	7.1
	1.27	5.37	7.4
	1.29	5.35	7.53	Watch
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.25	5.2	9.15	Watch
	1.37	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)	5.03 ↑ (4.5)	7.55 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
70%

Draw
18%

Flota Świnoujście
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

19.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zawisza Bydgoszcz's performance.

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 3.

In recent matches, Zawisza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flota has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zawisza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zawisza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:7 ✺
Polish Cup
08.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:0
04.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:3
05.10.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3
16.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3
23.08.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	2:0
Polish Division 1
01.06.13	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	2:2

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