Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Zenit		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.6	4.1
	2	3.8	4.15
	1.95	3.65	3.8
	1.97	3.72	4.04
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.96	3.78	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.71)	3.68 ↓ (3.77)	3.98 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit
49.5%

Draw
26.2%

Club Brugge
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

15.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit's form might have worsened.

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zenit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77%	6.6%	16.4%

Zenit - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 226 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 174 - 77%). Brugge will win (votes: 37 - 16.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 6.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 71.5% – 82.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Zenit has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Brugge has a chance of round of 16 (28%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zenit is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brugge in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Zenit is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zenit won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Zenit won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
17.10.20	Zenit - Sochi	3:1 ✺
03.10.20	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Zenit - Ufa	6:0 ✺
19.09.20	Ural - Zenit	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Zenit - Arsenal Tula	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWTW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.10.20	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	0:6 ✺
12.09.20	Club Brugge - Beveren	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.14	Zenit - Club Brugge	1:1

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