Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Lukoil Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Moscow		Zenit

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.36	3.12
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.74	3.34	2.74	Watch
	2.46	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
37.9%

Draw
29%

Zenit
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Spartak Moscow - Zenit Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 3. Wooh C. 4. Djiku A. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 68. Litvinov R. 7. Solari P. 18. Umyarov N. 5. Barco E. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.	16. Adamov D. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 78. Diveev I. 33. Nino 66. Vega R. 5. Barrios W. (C) 8. Wendel 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 14. Jhon Jhon 7. Sobolev A.
Substitutes
6. Babic S. 19. Daku M. 97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 33. Parada V. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I.	28. Alip N. 25. Andrade K. 21. Erokhin A. 9. Felipe Augusto 15. Karavaev V. 93. Karpukas A. 61. Kondakov D. 11. Luiz Henrique 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 71. Odoevskiy D. (G) 82. Volkov S.
Coaches
Carcedo J. C.	Semak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Barrios W. (Own goal),
21', Wendel 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Zobnin R. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Marquinhos 🟨,
57', Sobolev A. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
57', Nino ↓, Alip N. ↑,
57', Litvinov R. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
63', Zobnin R. 🟨,
64', Glushenkov M. 🟨,
67', Vega R. 🟨,
71', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
71', Zobnin R. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
73', Barrios W. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
73', Jhon Jhon ↓, Karpukas A. ↑,
76', Karpukas A. 🟨,
80', Ugalde M. 🟨,
81', Fernandes G. 🟨,
82', Wendel ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
83', Ugalde M. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
83', Fernandes G. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
88', Glushenkov M. 🟨,
88', Dmitriev I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2.

In recent matches, Spartak M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zenit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Spartak M: Zorin D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21
3	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	5:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Zenit - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Orenburg - Zenit	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Cup
18.07.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	2:1 penalties
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:1 penalties
Russian Premier League
14.03.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	2:0
16.08.25	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	2:2
16.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	2:1
Club Friendly
11.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	0:3
Russian Premier League
24.08.24	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:0

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