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Current Win Probability
Zhejiang Professional 43.5%
Draw 26.1%
Beijing Guoan 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
25.5%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zhejiang Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhejiang Professional's performance.
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhejiang Professional than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zhejiang Pro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Zhao Bo (G) 16. Tong Lei 38. Zhang A. 36. Possignolo L. (C) 26. Sun Guowen 14. Wu Wei 4. Park Jin-Seob 7. Tao Qianglong 10. Tolic M. 11. Wang Y. 23. Guarirapa S.
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 4. Li Lei 20. Nkololo B. 23. Dawhan 7. Serginho 11. Lin Liangming 8. Konte A. 9. Zhang Yuning (C)
Substitutes
19. Abdusalam A. 6. Bao Shengxin 22. Cheng Jin 1. Dong Chunyu (G) 18. Fang Hao 9. Gao Di 5. Liu Haofan 8. N'Doumbou A. 17. Wang Shiqin 3. Wang Yang 25. Xu Junchi 29. Zhang Jiaqi
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 10. Zhang Xizhe
Coaches
Aloisi R.
Montgomery N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Park Jin-Seob 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sun Guowen ↓, Wang Shiqin ↑,
48', Li Lei 🟨,
59', Wu Wei ↓, N'Doumbou A. ↑,
59', Tao Qianglong ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
69', Wang Gang ↓, Abdugheni Abduhamit ↑,
73', Dawhan ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
74', Tolic M. ↓, Cheng Jin ↑,
76', Lin Liangming 🟨,
84', Lin Liangming ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
86', Tong Lei ↓, Xu Junchi ↑,
89', Guarirapa S. 🟨,
90', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
90', Nkololo B. ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
90+4', Wang Y. ↓, Abdusalam A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhejiang Pro won 1.
Zhejiang Pro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Beijing Guoan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Zhejiang Pro might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Foot Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
Yue Tze-Nam
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Ramos G.
(Injury)
Wu Shaocong
(Inactive)
Yang Liyu
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Zhejiang Pro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zhejiang Pro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).