Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Huizhou Olympic Stadium (Huizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	TV4
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Zhejiang Professional		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.94	3.07
	2.1	3.6	2.88
	2.13	3.74	3.08	Watch
	2.28	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)	3.68 ↑ (3.41)	2.96 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhejiang Professional
43%

Draw
25.4%

Melbourne City
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhejiang Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhejiang Professional's performance.

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhejiang Professional than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhejiang Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	4.3%	17.4%

Zhejiang Professional - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Zhejiang Pro will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhejiang Pro: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhao Bo (G) 19. Dong Yu 5. Liu Haofan 36. Possignolo L. 28. Yue Xin 10. Li Tixiang 29. Zhang Jiaqi 22. Cheng Jin 11. Andrijasevic F. (C) 17. Kouassi J. E. 45. Leonardo	1. Young J. (G) 22. Good C. 4. Reis N. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. 8. Sakhi H. 6. Ugarkovic S. 10. Arslan T. 44. Jakolis M. 9. Maclaren J. (C) 37. Caputo M.
Substitutes
38. Fan Jinming (G) 31. Gu Bin 15. Jin Haoxiang 21. Ji Shengpan 12. Lai Jinfeng (G) 30. Mushekwi N. 39. Wang Y. 3. Wang Yang 23. Wu Yuhang 6. Yao Junsheng 26. Yin Jie	17. Antonis T. 33. Beach P. (G) 2. Galloway S. 21. Lopane A. 46. Mazzeo B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 38. Politidis H. 35. Schreiber Z. 25. Talbot C.
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Vidosic R.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Zhejiang Professional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zhejiang Professional will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhejiang Professional FC
Chinese Super League
30.09.23	Zhejiang Professional - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Shenzhen - Zhejiang Professional	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Buriram United - Zhejiang Professional	4:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.09.23	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Zhejiang Professional - Dalian Pro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Melbourne City
Australian Cup
24.09.23	Melbourne City - Sydney	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Melbourne City - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Australian Cup
14.09.23	North Eastern MetroStars - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	3:0 ✺
13.08.23	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWWW

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