Match Info

First League - Round 17

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Zhetisay		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.35	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)	2.75 ↓ (4.5)	3.5 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 13%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetisay
56.3%

Draw
24.5%

Khan Tengri
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetisay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhetisay's form might have worsened.

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetisay than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhetisay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khan Tengri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Mukhambetzhanuly M. (G) 96. Abylaykhan R. 9. Amirbek N. 6. Bazarbay E. 12. Imanali M. 20. Kospayev E. 7. Madelkhan B. 2. Mazhitov D. 3. Orynbasar O. 70. Ryskul B. (C) 4. Sarbay E.	1. Erniyazov S. (G) 3. Bekmyrza A. 30. Gabiden A. 22. Kusainov A. 9. Medelkhan D. 18. Mukhametali K. 7. Rakhimzhanov A. 10. Seitov A. 24. Strizhkov N. 2. Zakharchenko B. 15. Zhumagali S.
Substitutes
8. Asatulla A. 10. Baurzhan M. 33. Dandybaev N. 21. Ermekuulu A. 74. Ibrahim E. 24. Karzhau A. 17. Kulmaganbetov A. 19. Rakhmetov M. 79. Sarsenbek B. 16. Turdybaev N.	20. Bekeshov M. 28. Oger A. 5. Slyamkhan A. 32. Tamabek M. (G) 16. Temershi E. 19. Umirzak D. 17. Usoyan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Abylaykhan R. ⚽, Amirbek N. (A),
6', 2 - 0, Amirbek N. ⚽,
25', Mazhitov D. 🟨,
38', Mazhitov D. ↓, Baurzhan M. ↑,
38', Madelkhan B. ↓, Ermekuulu A. ↑,
38', Bazarbay E. ↓, Rakhmetov M. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Zakharchenko B. ↓, Slyamkhan A. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Abylaykhan R. ⚽,
60', Strizhkov N. ↓, Temershi E. ↑,
60', Bekmyrza A. ↓, Bekeshov M. ↑,
64', Seitov A. ↓, Umirzak D. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Dandybaev N. ⚽,
89', Rakhmetov M. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Dandybaev N. ⚽,
90+4', 6 - 0, Sarsenbek B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Zhetisay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Khan Tengri has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zhetisay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zhetisay is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zhetisay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Zhetisay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
01.08.25	SD Family - Zhetisay	2:7 ✺
25.07.25	Zhetisay - Turkistan	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetisay	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Zhetisay - Akademiya Ontustik	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTLW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
31.07.25	Khan Tengri - AKAS	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
18.07.25	Khan Tengri - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
10.07.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Khan Tengri - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
20.09.24	Zhetisay - Khan Tengri	1:3
04.04.24	Khan Tengri - Zhetisay	1:0

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