Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Nantong Zhiyun		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.29	3.6	3.16
	2.24	3.36	3.12	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.88
	2.26	3.55	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.07)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	3.02 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
41.8%

Draw
27.2%

Qingdao West Coast
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.1%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Zhiyun's performance.

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao West Coast might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Zhiyun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao West Coast could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Xue Qinghao (G) 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin (C) 18. Jiang Zilei 25. Cao Kang 30. Rosa F. 6. Yang Ming-Yang 10. Kallon I. 38. Lu Yongtao 9. Godinez J.	35. Shi Xiaton (G) 32. Chen Yuhao 33. Haroyan V. 4. Jin Yangyang 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 10. Da Luz N. 14. Feng Gang 30. He Longhai 20. Matheus Indio 11. Alan (C) 19. Beauguel J.
Substitutes
37. Jia B. 17. Ji Shengpan 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 5. Ma Sheng 36. Qiu Zhongyi 28. Shi Xiaodong (G) 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 33. Xu Junmin 26. Ye Daochi 29. Zheng Haoqian	17. Chen Po-Liang 24. Duan Liuyu 6. Ge Zhen 1. Ji J. (G) 39. Lei Wenjie 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 18. Piao Shihao 9. Riascos B. 2. Song Bowei 36. Sun Jie 13. Tan Kaiyuan 27. Yang Boyu
Coaches
Patricio D.	Shao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Alan ⚽, He Longhai (A),
27', Haroyan V. 🟨,
35', Yang Ming-Yang 🟥,
45+5', Chen Yuhao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Haroyan V. ↓, Sun Jie ↑,
53', Sun Jie 🟨,
54', Kallon I. 🟨,
64', He Longhai ↓, Riascos B. ↑,
64', Jiang Zilei ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
65', Alan ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Riascos B. ⚽, Duan Liuyu (A),
73', Lu Yongtao ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Feng Gang ⚽, Duan Liuyu (A),
87', Rosa F. ↓, Jia B. ↑,
87', Luo Xin ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
89', Da Luz N. ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
90+2', Abduklim Merdanjan ↓, Yang Boyu ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Nantong Zhiyun has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Qingdao West Coast is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Qingdao West Coast have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
10.08.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Nantong Zhiyun	5:1 ✺
04.08.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
26.07.24	Shanghai Port - Nantong Zhiyun	8:1 ✺
21.07.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.07.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
11.08.24	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
02.08.24	Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao West Coast	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shandong Taishan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.04.24	Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2
Chinese Jia League
29.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast	0:0
13.06.22	Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2

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