Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Referee: Jovic F. (Cro)


	Zimbru Chişinău		Ararat-Armenia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.95	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.36
	2.95	3.3	2.36	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.5
	2.98	3.18	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.25)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.37 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zimbru Chişinău
32.6%

Draw
28.3%

Ararat-Armenia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zimbru Chişinău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zimbru Chişinău's form might have worsened.

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ararat-Armenia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	31.6%	47.4%

Zimbru Chişinău - Ararat Armenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Zimbru will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat-Armenia: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Cebotari N. (G) 4. Rozgoniuc A. 69. Dedechko D. (C) 16. Samake A. 77. Cojocari S. 8. Guera Djou J. 11. Joao Paulo 17. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M. 19. Bitca S. 20. Alaribe E. 9. Ohajunwa J.	24. Beglaryan A. (G) 13. Hovhannisyan K. 3. Junior Julio 4. Queiros J. 16. Grigoryan E. 8. Harutyunyan H. 12. Nondi A. 10. Ambartsumyan A. (C) 9. Serobyan A. 7. Rodriguez A. 15. Yenne T.
Substitutes
12. Agachi S. (G) 3. Burghiu S. 18. Covali N. 22. Morozan M. 24. Ngah C. 14. Pegza F. 21. Radu L. 10. Raileanu V. 5. Sarain S. 6. Soumah I. 33. Stefan M. 1. Tuhar C. (G)	21. Alaverdyan N. 6. Ayvazyan M. 11. Duarte J. 17. Gbomadu M. 5. Hakobyan H. 31. Kucher D. (G) 1. Manasyan R. (G) 19. Muradyan K. 33. Ocansey E. 25. Pavlovets A. 27. Petrosyan D. 20. Tera A.
Coaches
Popescu L.	Minasyan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Guera Djou J. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Serobyan A. (Pen),
31', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
39', Cojocari S. 🟨,
45+3', Samake A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dedechko D. ↓, Ngah C. ↑,
46', Alaribe E. ↓, Raileanu V. ↑,
46', Joao Paulo ↓, Soumah I. ↑,
55', Cojocari S. ↓, Covali N. ↑,
68', Harutyunyan H. ↓, Tera A. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ocansey E. ↑,
70', Ugochukwu Ihekuna M. ↓, Pegza F. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Ocansey E. ⚽,
75', Nondi A. ↓, Muradyan K. ↑,
75', Serobyan A. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
82', Grigoryan E. 🟨,
85', Ambartsumyan A. ↓, Ayvazyan M. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Ocansey E. ⚽, Duarte J. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zimbru Chişinău
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Farul Constanța - Zimbru Chişinău	5:3 ✺
Moldovan Cup
25.05.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	3:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
18.05.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	4:1 ✺
11.05.24	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:0 ✺
Moldovan Cup
01.05.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLLWT
- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
26.05.24	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	1:3 ✺
21.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - Shirak Gyumri	1:1 ✺
16.05.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
Armenian Cup
12.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 penalties ✺
Armenian Premier League
07.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - BKMA Yerevan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWW

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